11-day outlook — past day 10 this is an outlook from the end of the GFS run: expect differences of several degrees.
Night
Mainly clear
9°
Feels like 9°
Wind↑ W 2 km/h
Humidity 78 %
Afternoon
Clear sky
17°
Feels like 17°
Wind↑ NNE 6 km/h
Humidity 43 %
12-day outlook — past day 10 this is an outlook from the end of the GFS run: expect differences of several degrees.
Night
Clear sky
8°
Feels like 8°
Wind↑ S 2 km/h
Humidity 93 %
💧 0.1 mm
Afternoon
Clear sky
16°
Feels like 16°
Wind↑ NNE 8 km/h
Humidity 34 %
13-day outlook — past day 10 this is an outlook from the end of the GFS run: expect differences of several degrees.
Night
Clear sky
7°
Feels like 7°
Wind↑ SSW 3 km/h
Humidity 75 %
Afternoon
Clear sky
16°
Feels like 16°
Wind↑ NNE 7 km/h
Humidity 24 %
14-day outlook — past day 10 this is an outlook from the end of the GFS run: expect differences of several degrees.
Night
Mainly clear
7°
Feels like 7°
Wind↑ SSW 4 km/h
Humidity 88 %
Toluca forecast in charts · next 7 days
The week ahead: highs and lows
▲ This week runs +3.2° warmer than usual
Highs Lows Usual for the season (1991–2020 average)
Hourly detail
Temperature (°C) Rain (mm) Wind (km/h)
Toluca climate: what a normal year looks like
Day and night differ most in March: 21 °C in the afternoon against 6 °C before dawn, a 15 °C swing.
The hottest stretch is May, when afternoons average 22 °C; the coldest is January, when nights average 3 °C.
The wet season is concentrated from July to September, which brings 54% of the annual total; July by itself averages 280 mm.
A normal year brings roughly 1,400 mm of rain — more than 72% of the towns of 20,000+ people we compared it with.
Forecast highs for the coming week average 20 °C, 1 °C warmer than a normal October (19 °C).
30-year averages (1991–2020)
Month
Typical high
Typical low
Rainfall
Jan
17 °C
3 °C
27 mm
Feb
19 °C
5 °C
26 mm
Mar
21 °C
6 °C
32 mm
Apr
22 °C
7 °C
54 mm
May
22 °C
9 °C
123 mm
Jun
21 °C
10 °C
220 mm
Jul
19 °C
9 °C
280 mm
Aug
19 °C
9 °C
263 mm
Sep
19 °C
10 °C
222 mm
Oct
19 °C
7 °C
102 mm
Nov
19 °C
5 °C
38 mm
Dec
18 °C
4 °C
16 mm
Whole year
20 °C
7 °C
1,400 mm
Source: our own processing of the ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus/ECMWF) for 19.29° N, 99.65° W, 1991–2020. ERA5 averages over a 0.25° grid (about 25 km): hills, a coastline or the heat of the city itself can shift local values by a degree or two.
Air you breathe in Toluca: pollution and pollen
2/6
Fair
European Air Quality Index (EAQI), from Copernicus CAMS
PM2.512µg/m³
PM1012µg/m³
Copernicus CAMS model, updated several times a day.
Rain radar around Toluca
Rain observed over the last two hours by official weather radars around Toluca, followed by the radar forecast for the next hour where the weather service provides one.
--:--
Rain radarLast two hours, then forecast where available · drag the timeline
No open weather radar covers Toluca yet: the map shows our hour-by-hour rain forecast (ICON, GFS).
Moon over Toluca
Waning gibbous
87 % illuminated · 18.3 days
Rise 21:11 Set 10:16
Fri30/1079%
Sat31/1069%
Sun1/1159%
Mon2/1149%Last quarter
Tue3/1138%
Wed4/1128%
Thu5/1119%
Fri6/1112%
Sat7/116%
Sun8/112%
Mon9/110%
Tue10/111%New moon
Moonrise and moonset in local time (America/Mexico_City); phase and lit fraction from a synodic calculation.
Look up a past day in Toluca
Curious about the weather in Toluca on a given day? Choose a date: we read it from the ERA5 reanalysis (ECMWF / Copernicus C3S), which runs until about a week ago.
Toluca weather at a glance
This page gathers everything about the weather in Toluca, México: conditions now, the forecast for each part of the day and the trend for the coming week. At the moment the sky is “mainly clear”, it is 19 °C (feels like 19 °C) and the wind blows at 2 km/h.
Expected range today: 8 °C to 19 °C and a dry sky; keep an eye on thunderstorms. The forecast comes from the AtmoAtlas engine, which combines ECMWF-AIFS, NOAA GFS and DWD ICON, adjusts cloud cover with METAR reports and uses convective energy (CAPE) to flag storms.
Use the Toluca forecast in your own website or app: one JSON call returns weather, air quality, tides and sun and moon times. The free key needs no card.
